3
Bold Stand
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 83
Churchill Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +21.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 21/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |