7
Texas Dandelion
2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 70
Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |