Shirley Ann
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 100
Churchill Downs · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2024-08-25 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 25/08/2024 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 29/09/2024 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 28/10/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 86% | -0.11 |