Consolidated
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 91
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Starter Allowance · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 10% | -0.27 |
| 28/02/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 21/12/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 11% | -0.63 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |