4
Funny Uncle
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 99
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Starter Allowance · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |