Jets Rio
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 82
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Starter Allowance · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Remington Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 21/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |