7
Luna Nostra
4yo Filly · 10-10
Craon · Prix Go Interim (prix De L'oudon) Handicap Hurdle · 2m 198y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Fontainebleau | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 23/03/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |