11
Promesse Tenue
4yo Filly · 10-4
Craon · Prix Go Interim (prix De L'oudon) Handicap Hurdle · 2m 198y
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Nantes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Argentan | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Pau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.59 |
| 31/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |