10
Elegantia
6yo Mare · 9-13
Craon · Prix V And B (handicap De Craon - Challenge Apgo) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength25%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-27 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-20 | Pornichet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-01-23 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-30 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-12-14 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Pornichet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2024 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 20/09/2024 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 25/10/2024 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 23/11/2024 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 14/12/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 30/12/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/01/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 20/02/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 27/02/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |