3
Milord Du Lemo
7yo Gelding · 11-0
Craon · Prix V And B (handicap De Craon - Challenge Apgo) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Argentan | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |
| 17/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 54% | -0.28 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 31% | -0.40 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |