Moon Night
4yo Gelding · 10-7
Craon · Prix V And B (handicap De Craon - Challenge Apgo) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 14th | 15th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 20/04/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/05/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 02/08/2026 | 12th | 11/4 | 86% | 27% | -0.59 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 79% | +0.15 |