5
Sauviac
5yo Gelding · 10-11
Craon · Prix V And B (handicap De Craon - Challenge Apgo) Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Angers | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 01/05/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 18/08/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 11/09/2025 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 02/08/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |