7
Blackbird
5yo Gelding · 10-10
Craon · Prix Ici Mayenne (prix Claude Rouget) Chase · 2m 4f 193y
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | 1 | 7th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Auteuil | ? | +1 | ||
| 2026-02-12 | Angers | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-31 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Craon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-12-31 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2024 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 22/11/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 03/12/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 31/12/2024 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 31/12/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |