5
Flanker
9yo Gelding · 10-12
Craon · Prix Ici Mayenne (prix Claude Rouget) Chase · 2m 4f 193y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-23 | Auteuil | ? | 14th | 16th | −2 |
| 2025-02-15 | Auteuil | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-04-21 | Auteuil | ? | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2023 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 11/11/2023 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 02/12/2023 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/03/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 31/03/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.15 |
| 15/02/2025 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 23/03/2025 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 24% | -0.34 |
| 06/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |