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8

La P'tite Histoire

5yo Filly · 10-7

Craon · Prix Ici Mayenne (prix Claude Rouget) Chase · 2m 4f 193y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Moulins 10/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 14310/05C?C0 @ Compiegne 20/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 14720/10C?C0 @ Lignieres 07/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m6f81y Sft 1547/03C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-15Fontainebleau3−1
2026-03-07Lignieres?7th7th0
2025-10-20Compiegne?1st1st0
2025-05-10Moulins?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0520/107/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%

Delivery trend -4.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20254th2/189%50%-0.39
20/10/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
07/03/20267th7/282%33%-0.48