7
Chasing Great
4yo Gelding · 10-8
Craon · Prix Asselco (prix Docteur Guy Jallot) Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 83y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Angers | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 19/11/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 02/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 12/09/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |