10
Monsieur Bach
4yo Gelding · 10-3
Craon · Prix Asselco (prix Docteur Guy Jallot) Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 83y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -60.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |