5
Montgazon
4yo Gelding · 10-12
Craon · Prix Asselco (prix Docteur Guy Jallot) Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 83y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Auteuil | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Pau | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Pau | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Pau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 09/09/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 12/09/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |