4
Colin The Brave
4yo Gelding · 9-3
Craon · Prix Haras De Bouquetot (prix Du Point Du Jour) Listed Stakes · 1m 44y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -20.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |