2
Mon Black Du Livet
4yo Gelding · 9-3
Craon · Prix Haras De Bouquetot (prix Du Point Du Jour) Listed Stakes · 1m 44y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 6th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 03/04/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |