5
Pitch Perfect
3yo Gelding · 8-12
Craon · Prix Haras De Bouquetot (prix Du Point Du Jour) Listed Stakes · 1m 44y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |