4

Batesca

5yo Filly · 9-5

Craon · Prix Credit Mutuel (prix Du Val D'athee) Handicap · 6f 101y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength31%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Fontainebleau 06/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1206/0343 @ Chantilly 26/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 08/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS8/043C0 @ Chantilly 22/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1204 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1298/0543 @ Saint-Cloud 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ ParisLongchamp 18/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS18/0633 @ Compiegne 16/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ ParisLongchamp 13/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13013/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13ParisLongchamp?6th6th0
2026-07-16Compiegne310th9th+1
2026-06-18ParisLongchamp39th8th+1
2026-05-29Saint-Cloud37th6th+1
2026-05-08Strasbourg48th8th0
2026-04-22Chantilly?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0322/0418/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/202611th50/10%17%+0.17
26/03/20263rd33/10%86%+0.86
08/04/20268th9/153%36%-0.16
22/04/20264th20/10%79%+0.79
08/05/20268th12/137%53%+0.16
29/05/20267th18/15%45%+0.40
18/06/20269th12/137%33%-0.04
16/07/202610th16/116%31%+0.15
13/09/20266th16/116%64%+0.48