3
Close Up
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Craon · Prix Credit Mutuel (prix Du Val D'athee) Handicap · 6f 101y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Pornichet | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-05 | Pornichet | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Le Mans | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -14.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 05/12/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 11/09/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |