8
Kakhovka
6yo Mare · 8-9
Craon · Prix Credit Mutuel (prix Du Val D'athee) Handicap · 6f 101y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 27/01/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 04/02/2026 | 16th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 13/08/2026 | 15th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |