Lovely Dream
4yo Filly · 9-2
Craon · Prix Credit Mutuel (prix Du Val D'athee) Handicap · 6f 101y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nantes | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Pornichet | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 85% | +0.27 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |
| 07/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 29/05/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |