1
Pomme Surette
4yo Filly · 9-6
Craon · Prix Credit Mutuel (prix Du Val D'athee) Handicap · 6f 101y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nantes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength14%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 22% | -0.63 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 31/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 79% | +0.08 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 01/07/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |