Yashan Fal
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Craon · Prix Credit Mutuel (prix Du Val D'athee) Handicap · 6f 101y
#13
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 12.3 /10 (raw 10.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nantes | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Chantilly | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 17/07/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 30/09/2025 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 29/05/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 16/06/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 01/07/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 24/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/08/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |