Clean Bowled
4yo Gelding · 8-10
Craon · Prix Equidia (prix De Parislongchamp) Handicap · 6f 101y
#1
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Toulouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 7% | +0.01 |
| 22/07/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 93% | +0.28 |
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |