9
Cour Du Roi
7yo Gelding · 9-1
Craon · Prix Equidia (prix De Parislongchamp) Handicap · 6f 101y
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength31%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 55% | -0.30 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 25/03/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 03/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 05/07/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 02/08/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |