11
Giuseppe Ballocco
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Craon · Prix Equidia (prix De Parislongchamp) Handicap · 6f 101y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength63%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/06/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 87% | +0.16 |