Ma Mome

5yo Filly · 9-7

Craon · Prix Equidia (prix De Parislongchamp) Handicap · 6f 101y

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼1

Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C3.2

Today: 4

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-10	ParisLongchamp	3	9th	8th	+1	2.2
2026-07-20	Vichy	3	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-07-05	Saint-Cloud	3	8th	7th	+1	3.2
2026-06-18	ParisLongchamp	3	1st	0th	+1	5.0
2026-06-09	Compiegne	3	5th	4th	+1	6.2
2026-05-21	ParisLongchamp	4	8th	8th	0	2.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength9%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
15/09/2025	12th	28/1	0%	21%	+0.21
26/04/2026	5th	20/1	0%	64%	+0.64
13/05/2026	12th	15/2	61%	21%	-0.39
21/05/2026	8th	8/1	58%	30%	-0.28
09/06/2026	5th	11/1	42%	73%	+0.31
18/06/2026	1st	7/1	63%	100%	+0.37
05/07/2026	8th	11/1	42%	50%	+0.08
20/07/2026	3rd	11/2	71%	83%	+0.12
10/09/2026	9th	12/1	37%	47%	+0.10