6
Maya Chop
4yo Gelding · 9-2
Craon · Prix Equidia (prix De Parislongchamp) Handicap · 6f 101y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 20/07/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |