The Cat's
5yo Gelding · 8-10
Craon · Prix Equidia (prix De Parislongchamp) Handicap · 6f 101y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/02/2026 | 12th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 19/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 93% | +0.27 |