5

Johntom

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Curragh · Army Equitation Centenary Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Making his first start, ran green when eighth of 11 in maiden at Naas 10 days ago. Likely to need more time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f Yie 13317/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength15%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20268th33/10%30%+0.30