7

Muscogee Nation

2yo Colt · 9-7

Curragh · Army Equitation Centenary Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden · 7f

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€200,000 breeze-up purchase but shaped as if he would benefit from his first outing when seventh of 18 in maiden at Naas (6f) in July. Could see a better showing this time around.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 13322/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Naas?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20267th9/276%65%-0.12