3

Capability Brown

2yo Colt · 9-7

Curragh · Izuzu Ireland Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden · 1m 1f

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed the benefit of initial experience when third of 15 in maiden at Gowran (7f, good to soft) last month. Upped in trip and can progress again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 13/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m20y Gd 13313/07C8C8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 7f Yie 1311/09C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?3rd3rd0
2026-07-13Killarney?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +56.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
01/09/20263rd13/266%86%+0.20