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2

Big Gossey

9yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 104

Curragh · Qatar Racing And Equestrian Club Renaissance Stakes (Group 3) · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remarkable course specialist with 10 wins here including 5 over C&D. Won here in June but last 2 runs have been at unsuitable trips. Hard to rule out back at this trip around here and looks sure to give it a good go up against younger rivals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA108 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 22nd of 25 · OR 108 · 1m Hvy 143 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 108 par15/03108OR 1081 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 107 · 7f Sft 135 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 107 par1 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 107 · 5f Gd 138 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 107 par27/041OR 1071 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 107 · 6f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 107 par1 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 107 · 6f Gd 136 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 107 par28/061OR 1071 @ Curragh 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 107 · 7f GF 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 107 par1 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 107 · 6f GF 133 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 107 par9/081OR 107BHA107 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR 107 · 1m Goo 142 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 107 par1 @ Curragh 13/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 106 · 5f Yie 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 106 par13/091OR 106projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Curragh110th10th+0
2026-08-29CurraghBHA1079th21th−10
2026-08-09Curragh15th5th0
2026-07-19Curragh12nd2nd+0
2026-06-28Curragh11st1st−0
2026-05-23Curragh12nd2nd+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0323/059/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -5.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/202622nd40/10%13%+0.13
28/03/20261st25/10%100%+1.00
27/04/20269th40/10%43%+0.43
23/05/20262nd18/15%89%+0.84
28/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
19/07/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23
09/08/20265th7/282%0%-0.82
29/08/20269th25/10%50%+0.50
13/09/202610th40/10%44%+0.44