Brussels
3yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 101
Curragh · Qatar Racing And Equestrian Club Renaissance Stakes (Group 3) · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 1 | 12th | 12th | +0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 19th | 19th | +0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Haydock | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Ascot | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/5 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 19/06/2026 | 19th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 31/07/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |