East Hampton
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 104
Curragh · Qatar Racing And Equestrian Club Renaissance Stakes (Group 3) · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | 1 | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Leopardstown | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Doncaster | 1 | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Cork | 1 | 6th | 6th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 29/06/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 14/08/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 13/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |