Power Blue
3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 110
Curragh · Qatar Racing And Equestrian Club Renaissance Stakes (Group 3) · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | York | 1 | 12th | 12th | +0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | 1 | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Newmarket | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.53 |
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |