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2

A Good Yarn

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Curragh · Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Calyx gelding. 33/1, caught the eye when sixth of 24 in maiden over C&D (heavy) on debut in April, faring best of those held up. Absent since but looks sure to improve on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 24 · OR - · 6f Sft 13419/04C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-19Curragh?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20266th33/10%78%+0.78