Caislean Ni Cuan
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 57
Curragh · Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 8.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA63 | 16th | 14th | +2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | BHA66 | 12th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 63% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 09/08/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 22/08/2026 | 16th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |