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9

Lilli's Angel

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 66

Curragh · Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Steadily progressive form in 3 maidens, making the frame at Cork last time. Place claims at best.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 20 · OR - · 6f GF 12927/06C8C8 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 12918/07C8C8 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 6f Yie 12930/08C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Cork?4th4th0
2026-07-18Curragh?8th8th0
2026-06-27Curragh?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0618/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -7.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20269th28/10%58%+0.58
18/07/20268th20/10%30%+0.30
30/08/20264th12/137%80%+0.43