10
Otsana
3yo Filly · 9-3
Curragh · Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
63%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -41.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 82% | -0.08 |