13

Tourin

3yo Filly · 9-3

Curragh · Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a promising start when third in maiden at Limerick in June, finishing well under hand riding. Was disappointing at Gowran earlier this month and may be one for handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 7f Sft 12919/06C8C8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f Yie 1291/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?6th6th0
2026-06-19Limerick?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/061/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -25.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20263rd7/163%87%+0.24
01/09/20266th7/163%62%-0.02