14

Tribal Belle

3yo Filly · 9-3

Curragh · Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★ Timeform

Commentary

25/1, tenth of 14 in maiden at Gowran (7f, good to soft) on debut 26 days ago. Probably one for later on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f Yie 1291/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength15%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/202610th25/10%31%+0.31