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2

Curracloe

2yo Filly · 9-2

Curragh · Darley Fillies Stakes (Group 3) · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Baaeed filly who created a very good impression when winning 16-runner maiden at Gowran 26 days ago by 3¼ lengths from Snowing, leading over 1f out and staying on strongly. Open to significant improvement and likely to take plenty of beating with her yard flying at present.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 7f Yie 1281/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?1st10th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/20261st22/10%100%+1.00