8

Value Pending

2yo Filly · 9-2

Curragh · Darley Fillies Stakes (Group 3) · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Harry Angel filly who made a winning debut in a 6f maiden at Dundalk 9 days ago, beating Thumama Glory by 1½ lengths. The step up to 7f should be within range on pedigree and she is open to improvement, but this much different test asks a significantly tougher question.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f Std 12718/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Dundalk?1st10th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63