5

A Piece Of Heaven
8yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 104
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Chester | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | BHA102 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Dundalk | BHA105 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Thurles | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-07-10 | Leopardstown | BHA106 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 3378% of fieldRange 1-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 33. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2024 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 17/08/2024 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 29/09/2024 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 97% | +0.97 |
| 10/07/2025 | 3rd | 2/5 | 98% | 50% | -0.48 |
| 05/02/2026 | 12th | 4/1 | 79% | 31% | -0.48 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 58% | -0.15 |