11
Bunting
6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 96
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Ballinrobe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Punchestown | BHA134 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Cheltenham | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Leopardstown | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish22nd of 3334% of fieldRange 24-33 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 22nd of 33. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 01/02/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 11/03/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 65% | +0.39 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 16/06/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.16 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 74% | +0.21 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |